Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 6.925755 8.055671 9.275430 10.685664 12.266629 13.979740 15.971727
2026-01-25 5.187454 6.646289 8.343101 10.445684 12.963125 15.861968 19.432653
2026-02-01 4.107351 5.684020 7.628332 10.168357 13.361819 17.204693 22.135504
2026-02-08 3.349806 4.962331 7.054800 9.914256 13.658870 18.330400 24.524787
2026-02-15 2.750653 4.343670 6.510735 9.595728 13.785233 19.179787 26.539307
2026-02-22 2.401945 4.013524 6.298140 9.666654 14.383832 20.620072 29.329472
2026-03-01 2.106125 3.714950 6.086520 9.699553 14.903995 21.951105 32.002345
2026-03-08 1.870594 3.473623 5.925041 9.774638 15.464796 23.338183 34.781748
2026-03-15 1.654848 3.233221 5.735209 9.780753 15.909376 24.564335 37.367699
2026-03-22 1.525496 3.118164 5.723861 10.045394 16.731798 26.339896 40.766507
2026-03-29 1.399737 2.992100 5.679427 10.247489 17.460165 27.997441 44.043804
2026-04-05 1.261348 2.824666 5.548627 10.296439 17.947638 29.311882 46.861324
2026-04-12 1.079552 2.553562 5.219245 10.001203 17.888502 29.823748 48.545804
2026-04-19 0.931918 2.327226 4.944232 9.771343 17.911803 30.449451 50.408148
2026-04-26 0.799782 2.111777 4.665354 9.508698 17.858272 30.942994 52.074104
2026-05-03 0.688066 1.921628 4.412580 9.268191 17.819577 31.446089 53.756534
2026-05-10 0.584568 1.732047 4.139723 8.966794 17.654426 31.732874 55.102513
2026-05-17 0.530982 1.650132 4.071247 9.033897 18.118000 33.031870 58.051746
2026-05-24 0.479733 1.565436 3.988025 9.065025 18.515998 34.232841 60.875308
2026-05-31 0.437210 1.495733 3.928791 9.136070 18.984042 35.558957 63.928981
2026-06-07 0.393908 1.416376 3.840343 9.141856 19.331503 36.692149 66.699208
2026-06-14 0.372428 1.393485 3.874045 9.392304 20.132840 38.605774 70.777023
2026-06-21 0.348474 1.359528 3.879174 9.583606 20.830782 40.362627 74.639959